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The household sector financial balance, financing gap, financial markets, and economic cycles in the US economy: A structural VAR analysis
Casadio, Paolo; Paradiso, Antonio - 2010
This paper investigates private net saving in the US economy - divided into its principal components, households and (nonfinancial) corporate financial balances - and its impact on the GDP cycle from the 1980s to the present. Furthermore, we investigate whether the financial markets (stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281740
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The impact of uncertainty on macro variables: An SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries
Belke, Ansgar; Kronen, Dominik - 2017
, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to gain first insights that … general investment and consumption of longlived goods in the EMU core countries in order to be prepared to react on different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663102
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The effects of economic policy uncertainty on European economies: Evidence from a TVP-FAVAR
Prüser, Jan; Schlösser, Alexander - 2017
Recent events such as the financial and sovereign debt crisis have triggered an increase in European Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU). We use a TVP-FAVAR model with hierarchical priors on the hyperparameters to investigate the effect of EPU on a wide range of macroeconomic variables for eleven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011701315
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Macroeconomic regimes, technological shocks and employment dynamics
Ferraresi, Tommaso; Roventini, Andrea; Semmler, Willi - 2016
In this work, we investigate the interrelations among technology, output and employment in the different states of the U.S. economy (recessions vs. expansions). More precisely, we estimate different threshold vector autoregression (TVAR) models with TFP, hours, and GDP, employing the latter as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789726
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Transmission Channels Linking Real Estate Shocks with Macroeconomic Performance: Evidence from Malaysia
Hui, Hon-Chung - Business School, University of Nottingham - 2008
, bank lending activities and to a certain extent, consumption. The impact of shocks on investment is harder to decipher … system is perturbed. In the long run, there is no evidence of positive wealth effects on consumption while sustained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004965161
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Identifying key macroeconomic shocks to Canadian GDP
Sayeed, Jamil - 2020
This paper seeks to identify the largest two shocks that can explain the movement in Canadian GDP for the period 1981Q1 to 2011Q4. I employ a very flexible identification method proposed by Uhlig (2003) that allows us to identify the key shocks from the time series data without imposing any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939241
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Are Crime Rates Really Stationary?
Joakim, Westerlund; Johan, Blomquist - 2009
Many empirical studies of the economics of crime focus solely on the determinants thereof, and do not consider the dynamic and cross-sectional properties of their data. As a response to this, the current paper offers an in-depth analysis of this issue using data covering 21 Swedish counties from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208550
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Business cycle accounting for the German fiscal stimulus program during the Great Recession
Fehrle, Daniel; Huber, Johannes - 2020
wedges to the variables government consumption, durables, investment, labor, net exports, and efficiency. The results suggest … consumption wedge and in particular the durables wedge acted counter-cyclical. We attribute the latter to an internationally … government consumption. We introduce a strategy for likelihood maximization, which reliably and quickly locates the maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329981
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Business cycle accounting for the German fiscal stimulus program during the Great Recession
Fehrle, Daniel; Huber, Johannes - 2020
wedges to the variables government consumption, durables, investment, labor, net exports, and efficiency. The results suggest … consumption wedge and in particular the durables wedge acted counter-cyclical. We attribute the latter to an internationally … government consumption. We introduce a strategy for likelihood maximization, which reliably and quickly locates the maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606265
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Are Crime Rates Really Stationary?
Westerlund, Joakim; Blomquist, Johan - Nationalekonomiska institutionen, Handelshögskolan - 2009
Many empirical studies of the economics of crime focus solely on the determinants thereof, and do not consider the dynamic and cross-sectional properties of their data. As a response to this, the current paper offers an in-depth analysis of this issue using data covering 21 Swedish counties from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998800