In the central point of the change management is situated the problem of the change, which is the study we are going to reach to in the future, leaving from the actual state and the structured and organized process, that will allow us the transition from a stage to another. The professional...

Food security is a key issue in sustainability studies. In this paper we propose a general framework for providing detailed probabilistic socioeconomic scenarios as well as predictions across scenarios, concerning food security. Our methodology is based on the Bayesian probabilistic prediction...

Forecasting the vote share for the upcoming US presidential elections involves multiple pivotal economic and non-economic factors. Critical macroeconomic forces such as the rate of economic growth, tax burden, inflation, and unemployment significantly influence the votes gained or lost by the...

Extending the results in Sargan (1976) and Tanaka (1984), we derive the asymptotic expansions, of the Edgeworth and Nagar type, of the MM and QML estimators of the 1^{st} order autocorrelation and the MA parameter for the MA(1) model. It turns out that the asymptotic properties of the estimators...

This paper aims at identifying the motivating forces that gave birth to the statistical models of asset returns since the beginning of the twentieth century. The major question addressed is: Where do statistical models of asset returns come from?" This central question encompasses a number of...

This paper uses a tax revenues reallocation scheme as the payment vehicle in a choice experiment to value marine restoration in the Black Sea. Two reallocation treatments are administered; one proposing to reduce current public expenditures on renewable energy projects and the other, the training...

The outcome of the US presidential election is one of the most significant events that impacts trade, investment, and geopolitical policies on the global stage. It also sets the direction of the world economy and global politics for the next few years. Hence, it is of prime importance not just...

In this paper, I explore how fiscal policy decisions relate to the business cycle and, building on that, how the effects of policy interventions may vary depending on when policy is conducted in the business cycle. To assess this, I estimate a small to medium-sized DSGE model with expressive...

We prove that a two-cycle equilibrium in a general equilibrium model with infinitely-lived agents also constitutes an equilibrium in an overlapping generations (OLG) model. Conversely, an equilibrium in an OLG model that satisfies additional conditions is part of an equilibrium in a general...

In this article, we intend to present our Fair Division traditional environment. As for the PCo rule, it is and Reduction of Inequalities (APCR from french for PRRG method (Resource Distribution Process at results) that we proposed in a classic environment in Approche du Partage équitable des...