In this paper we derive a general closed-form expression for the Bartlett correction for the test of H_0: \theta= \theta**(0), where "theta is a scalar parameter of a one-parameter exponential family model. Our results are general enough to cover many important and commonly used distributions....

This paper compares the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of five classes of time series models for market shares of the six most important Portuguese car market competitors over differents horizons. As representative time series models I employ a random-walk with drift (Naive), a univariate...

This paper compares the empirical performance of Canadian weighted monetary aggregates (in particular, Fisher ideal aggregates) with the current summation aggregates, for their information content and forecasting performance in terms of prices, real output and nominal spending for the period...

We propose new data-driven smooth tests for a parametric regression function. The smoothing parameter is selected through a new criterion that favors a large smoothing parameter under the null hypothesis. The resulting test is adaptive rate-optimal and consistent against Pitman local...

Simulation evidence is presented on the finite sample properties of two tests for stationarity recently proposed by Kwiatkowski, Phillips and Schmidt (1991) and Park (1990). Unlike earlier unit-root tests, these test the null of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root, thereby...

Uno de los temas más interesante de la econometría aplicada, es aquel que trata sobre las funciones de producción. En este manual se tratan las formas funcionales CES, Cobb - Douglas, VES y Translog. Se realiza una breve reseña de cada forma funcional y se muestra su especificación...

We report here on the design and first application of an interactive computer-administered personal interview (CAPI) survey eliciting from high school students and college undergraduates their expectations of the income they would earn if they were to complete different levels of schooling. We...

China¡¯s recent accession to the WTO is expected to accelerate its integration into the world economy, which aggravates concerns over the impact of globalization on the already rising inter-region income inequality in China. This paper discusses China¡¯s globalization process and estimates...

We propose to combine recent developments in univariate and mul- tivariate unit root testing in order to construct a more powerful panel unit root test. We extend the GLS-detrending procedure of Elliott, Rothenberg and Stock (1996) to a panel Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The .nite sample power...

In this paper we investigate the possibility of the application of subsampling procedure for testing cointegration relations in large multivariate systems. The subsampling technique is applied to overcome the difficulty of nonstandard distribution and nuisance parameters in testing for...