This paper proposes a Differential-Independence Mixture Ensemble (DIME) sampler for the Bayesian estimation of macroeconomic models. It allows sampling from particularly challenging, high-dimensional black-box posterior distributions which may also be computationally expensive to evaluate. DIME...

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are one of the dominant approaches to compare statistical methods. To date, there is no standard procedure for MC simulations. Although internally valid, they exhibit a certain degree of arbitrariness through the various choices that researchers make. In this paper,...

We present first estimates of rates of non-take-up for social assistance in Germany after the implementation of major social policy reforms in 2005. The analysis is based on a microsimulation model, which includes a detailed description of the German social assistance programme. Our findings...

Die Bewertung von Unternehmen erfolgt bislang vorwiegend mit Hilfe von international anerkannten DCF-Verfahren. Kritik ernten diese Verfahren vor allem, da sie auf einer Punktschätzung für die zukünftig erwarteten Free-Cash-Flows basieren. Die hohe Unsicherheit, welche mit einer...

Taking robotic patents between 1977 and 2017 and building upon the topic modeling technique, we extract their latent topics, analyze how important these topics are over time, and how they are related to each other looking at how often they are recombined in the same patents. This allows us to...

The determinants of transitions between different states of financial distress are analyzed using two versions of Markov chain models: a multinomial logit model without random effects and a multinomial logit model capturing such unobservable factors. The empirical analysis is based on a panel...

In 1986 German federal parental leave and benefit policy was expanded in several ways, extending the potential duration of leave from six to ten months and paying child-rearing benefits to all new mothers regardless of their employment status before childbirth. The potential duration has...