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In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of the popular distribution tail index estimator by B. Hill (1975) for possibly heavy- tailed, heterogenous, dependent processes. We prove the Hill estimator is weakly consistent for processes with extremes that form mixingale sequences, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556320
Extreme Value Theory is increasingly used in the modelling of financial time series. The non-normality of stock returns leads to the search for alternative distributions that allows skewness and leptokurtic behavior. One of the most used distributions is the Pareto Distribution because it allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652020
This paper considers tail shape inference techniques robust to substantial degrees of serial dependence and heterogeneity. We detail a new kernel estimator of the asymptotic variance and the exact small sample mean-squared-error, and a simple representation of the bias of the B. Hill (1975) tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417217
Despite its wide use, the Hill estimator and its plot remain to be difficult to use in Extreme Value Theory (EVT) due to substantial sampling variations in extreme sample quantiles. In this paper, we propose a new plot we call the eigenvalue plot which can be seen as a generalization of the Hill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264655
The empirical evidence of heavy tails in stock return data is recognised by risk managers as an important factor in assessing the Value-at-Risk and risk profile of investment portfolios. Tail index estimation appears to be a tailor-made tool for estimating the extreme quantiles of heavy tailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021859
In this work we propose a new estimator for Zenga's inequality measure in heavy tailed populations. The new estimator is based on the Weissman estimator for high quantiles. We will show that, under fairly general conditions, it has asymptotic normal distribution. Further we present the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644149
Accurate modeling of extreme price changes is vital to financial risk management. We examine the small sample properties of adaptive tail index estimators under the class of student-t marginal distribution functions including GARCH and propose a model-based bias-corrected estimation approach....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407899
Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable (alpha- stable) distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset returns exhibit tail exponents well above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407988
The aim of this paper is to give a formal definition and consistent estimates of the extremes of a population. This definition relies on a threshold value that delimits the extremes and on the uniform convergence of the distribution of these extremes to a Pareto type distribution. The tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699657
Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset returns exhibit tail exponents well above the Levy-stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003619