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We compare Bayesian and sample theory model specification criteria. For the Bayesian criteria we use the deviance information criterion and the cumulative density of the mean squared errors of forecast. For the sample theory criterion we use the conditional Kolmogorov test. We use Markov chain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078996
This paper provides evidence for scaling laws in emerging stock markets. Estimated parameters using different definitions of volatility show that the empirical scaling law in every stock market is a power law. This power law holds from 2 to 240 business days (almost 1 year). The scaling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754585
An important economic insight is that observed equity prices must equal the present value of the cash flows associated with the equity claim. An implication of this insight is that present values of cash flows must also quantitatively justify the observed volatility and cross-correlations of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755944
We investigate factors that drive derivative usage in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The influence of these factors on hedging behavior cannot a priori be assumed equal for all SMEs. To address this heterogeneity, a generalized mixture regression model is used which classifies firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739869
We take a nonstructural time-series approach to modeling and forecasting daily average temperature in ten U.S. cities, and we inquire systematically as to whether it may prove useful from the vantage point of participants in the weather derivatives market. The answer is, perhaps surprisingly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740214
While research has documented that board of director composition may be important in certain agency-related situations, the impact of board composition on overall financial performance is not at all clear. One problem may be that board of director composition and financial performance are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740393
With the institution of Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) on October 23, 2000, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) imposed higher transparency requirements on the voluntary disclosure practices of public companies. This paper investigates whether the regulation induced companies to commit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741140
This paper undertakes a simulation study to investigate (a) the performance of alternative hedging strategies against various derivatives risks and (b) the impact of model misspecification on hedging performance. The hedging strategies considered in this paper include the single-instrument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741363
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130742
We compare Bayesian and sample theory model specification criteria. For the Bayesian criteria we use the deviance information criterion and the cumulative density of the mean squared errors of forecast. For the sample theory criterion we use the conditional Kolmogorov test. We use Markov chain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151894