Showing 1 - 10 of 8,291
return series using a seasonal Mackey-Glass-GARCH(1,1) model. The interest of the forecasting exercise is found in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481544
series CAC40. To this end, we apply severaldifferent tests to detect longmemory components and chaotic structures.Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005674115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618680
Complexity is one of the most important characteristic properties of the economic behaviour. The new field of knowledge called Chaotic Dynamic Economics born precisely with the objective of understanding, structuring and explaining in an endogenous way such complexity. In this paper, and after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273021
This thesis consists of four papers. The first three deal with deterministic chaos in exchange rate series whereas the fourth deals with technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. Paper [i] (
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651992
We test whether the spot price of crude oil is determined by stochastic rules or exhibits deterministic endogenous fluctuations. In our analysis, we employ both metric (correlation dimension and Lyapunov exponents) and topological (recurrence plots) diagnostic tools for chaotic dynamics. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571731
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203234
forecast the exchange rates. The results show that ANN outperforms both ARIMA and GARCH models in forecasting the exchange … rates, but generates the same results as the alternative models in forecasting the rate of change of the exchange rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010695806
This paper offers an explanation for the existence of price control on new houses in Korea, which is deemed both inefficient and inequitable. This phenomenon cannot be explained by the conventional model of rent-seeking or the capture theory of regulation. Instead, it is attributable to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005092505
The objective of this paper is to examine causality and feedback relationships between primary commodity prices and US inflation. To this end, the bivariate noisy Mackey–Glass process recently developed by Kyrtsou and Labys [Evidence for chaotic dependence between US inflation and commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874738