The ECB concept of analysis of deviation of actual money stock development from its long run equilibrium development is based on the assumption that bigger deviation signalizes risks for the price stability. The ECB considers three measures of this deviation: nominal money gap, real money gap...

New concepts have been presented in modelling of inflation dynamics recently, among others the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). There are several traditional ways of NKPC model validity testing, but none of them seems to be practically applicable in conditions of the Czech Republic. We tried...

In modelling of economical time series, it is logical to come out from hypotheses to some economic relationship. If the deviation of time series development is only short time period, with time limit behind it cannot go, we say that time series are in equilibrium. Statisticians call it...

In recent time inflation became a topic between economists and statisticians. An important question is not only an inflation development, but also especially an identification of factors, which influence it. The solution of this task turns into difficult empirical problem not only because of...

The goal of article is to explain the integrated process and stochastic trend like an origin of seeming regression and clarifies a way of detection. The first part contains a description and clarification of stationer and non-stationer attributes of generating process in time series. The second...