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The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland are set to join the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in the near future. This paper offers a framework for the quantitative evaluation of the economic costs of joining the EMU. Using an open economy dynamic general equilibrium model with sticky prices, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195639
In this paper we analyze the effect of ruble exchange rate dynamics on economic activity in Russia. We consider the dynamics of both total production and the distinct industries’ output. We apply the SVAR-X approach and analyze the most recent Russian data. We show that the devaluation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195735
The sudden collapse of oil prices poses a challenge to inflation targeting central banks in oil exporting economies. This paper illustrates that challenge and conducts a quantitative assessment of the impact of permanent changes in oil prices in a small and open economy, in which oil represents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195737
This paper focuses on the analysis of the convergence indicators relative to fiscal area in the EU; subsequent to a description of the main peculiarities of the convergence criteria, the reseach develops a critical analysis on a comparative perspective of the actual values of fiscal convergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195771
This paper provides a framework to understand debt deleveraging in a group of financially integrated countries. During an episode of international deleveraging, world consumption demand is depressed and the world interest rate is low, reflecting a high propensity to save. If exchange rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196040
We estimate the response of stock prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector-autoregressive model with time-varying parameters. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which, after a short-run decline, stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous tightening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196344
This paper studies how banks simultaneously manage the two sides of their balance sheet and its implications for bank risk taking and real economic activity. First, we analyze how changes in funding affect the supply of bank loans. We then examine how the supply of credit by banks that rely more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196438
Teniendo en cuenta los cambios recientes en la intermediación financiera y los avances en regulación, este artículo estudia las condiciones de riesgo de los bancos y sus características tradicionales para analizar el funcionamiento del canal de préstamos. La evidencia indica que los bancos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196536
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196537