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Housing markets have played a prominent role in macroeconomic developments over recent years. For a great part of the 2000s, buoyant housing markets have contributed to sustained economic activity in most OECD countries. But many markets overheated and the collapse of the US subprime mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446980
A problem associated with inflation differentials in monetary unions is that the “crowding-in” effect of lower real interest rates associated with high inflation will initially outweigh the loss of competitiveness (crowding out). The crowding-in effect may produce volatility in house prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012443061
This paper analyzes the effectiveness of monetary policy on money and credit in Pakistan by using the data rich environment. FAVAR model is used which consists of 115 macroeconomic variable for the period 1992:01 to 2010:12. Results depict that after a positive shock in interest rate (discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237276
The current study empirically analyzes the impact of oil price shocks (OPS) on the macroeconomy of Indonesia. For this purpose, five macroeconomic variables are used in the analysis, namely, government expenditure (GE), real GDP (RGDP), inflation (INFL), net exports (NXP) and real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422643
The world economy entered the third decade of this century with uncertainties and challenges of COVID-19 pandemic before it had fully recovered from the lingering aftereffects of the financial crisis. The financial crisis ended a period of overall global economic growth and price stability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485796
In the most recent decade, the European Union has shown itself to be less robust than globalists imagined. Globalists believed that supranationality was weatherproof – that it would always outperform national alternatives and would survive adversity. Economic stagnation and Brexit belied these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176397
The sharp revisions in inflation forecasts are not rooted in analytical flaws, overly hesitant ECB policies or model failures. Energy price shocks of historic dimensions are the key factor. They have ended the prolonged phase of excessively weak inflation with risks now clearly increasing. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013343136
The Russian economy continues to grow strongly, buoyed by rising terms of trade, which, in turn, are supporting a boom in domestic consumption. This paper addresses the challenge that the adjustment to sustained high oil prices poses for macroeconomic management. It first examines the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445915
Compliance with the structural budget surplus rule, which has been in place since 2001, has allowed the government to maintain a counter-cyclical fiscal stance in an environment of rising copper prices, while delivering a gradual reduction in public indebtedness. Monetary policy is conducted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446209
This paper uses a variety of empirical methods to examine the apparent differences in monetary policy stances as between the United States and other G7 economies, notably those in the euro area, during the period of sharp increases in oil and other commodity prices in the first half of 2008. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446312