This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest...

Accurately predicting revenue growth is nearly impossible. Predicting the peaks and valleys of the business cycle is even more hopeless. This matters because tax revenues are largely driven by economic growth. Volatile, unpredictable revenue growth causes all sorts of unpleasant responses on the...

This paper studies a novel approach for managing macroeconomic volatility in commodity exporting countries. As part of this study, we develop a sovereign risk management model in the context of an Asset-Liability Management (ALM) framework. Our first contribution is an extension of the...

This paper is about the effectiveness of qualitative easing, a form of unconventional monetary policy that changes the risk composition of the central bank balance sheet with the goal of stabilizing economic activity. We construct a general equilibrium model where agents have rational...

The use of American style equity options as hedging instrument has gained currency in recent times. This phenomenon devolves from the ever-expanding need by individuals, corporations and governments to hedge away their financial risks and the clarion call for derivative securities that give the...

This paper studies optimal sovereign investment and resource allocation decisions in the presence of asset price discontinuities due to stochastic volatility and event related jump risks. We find that: (i) both volatility jumps and positive price jumps increase investment in commodities while...

Developing countries present investors with compelling opportunities to influence the most substantial improvement in social and economic sustainability per unit of investment. We present a novel framework that seeks to enrich the assessment of sovereign creditworthiness, encourage investment in...

The Federal Reserve has become a Supra-National Central Bank with Monetary Policy Effects on foreign equity markets that exceed the host country’s domestic central bank policy. In this paper we utilize macroeconomic data to demonstrate an outsized effect on domestic equity markets by Federal...