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We analyze the determinants of the inflation trends in ten Southeast European (SEE) countries. Global cost …-related factors and euro area (EA) inflation developments play an important role in explaining inflation dynamics in SEE countries … exchange to euro area market appear to be susceptible to inflation spillovers from the euro area. Moreover, nominal effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124587
This paper investigates the drivers of inflation in 34 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries … costs are a major source of price instability, whereas massive cash transfers generate demand-pull inflation. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550880
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
aggregate demand still can cause significant inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337333
form of concavity discovered in the Phillips curves, the low inflation rate experienced over the last couple of decades can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488773
The all-gap Phillips curve (PC) explains inflation by expected inflation and an activity variable such as output or the … unemployment rate, but with both inflation and the activity variable measured relative to their stochastic trends and thus as gaps … second with output and inflation gaps following a VAR. For the US, UK, and Canada both cases yield all-gap PCs with slopes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277104
In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491765
, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the … inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply factors, we also find an important role for current and expected negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064190
system. Real wages and wage inflation emerge as especially persistent following an import price shock, while price inflation …This paper investigates the persistence of aggregate wages and prices in Portugal assuming a model of a unionized … wages is attributable mainly to unemployment shocks (about 80 percent), whereas variation in the forecast errors of prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766215