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The paper seeks to shed light on inflation dynamics of four new EU member states (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland … inflation-forcing variable is fragile. (2) Inflation seems to be driven by external factors. (3) Although inflation holds … forward-looking component, the backward-looking one is substantial. An intuitive explanation for higher inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949344
. In particular, the consequences of inflation having discrete breaks in mean, for example caused by supply shocks and the … dynamic inflation terms of the Phillips curve. We suggest a method to account for the breaks in mean and obtain meaningful and … from more traditional approaches, most recently undertaken by Cogley and Sbordone (2008). -- Phillips curve ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951489
This paper shows how endogeneous inflation inertia is generated by a simple modificaton of the quadratic adjustment … cost structure faced by economic agents. We derive the pertinent inflation relationships based on purely nominal rigidities … replicate empirical responses to an interest rate shock. -- Inflation Dynamics ; New Keynesian Phillips Curve; Business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952510
inflation and real rigidity. Analytically, I find that important dynamics in the NKPC are canceled out due to the restrictive … dynamic structure introduced by the non-constant hazards is also quantitatively important to the inflation dynamics …. Incorporation of real rigidity and trend inflation strengthen this effect even further. With reasonable parameter values, the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003875283
This paper examines inflation dynamics in the Unites States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession …. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960- 2007 are used to predict inflation over 2008-2010: inflation … by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006731
The long-run relation between growth and inflation has not yet been studied in the context of nominal price and wage … integrate staggered price- and wage-setting into an endogenous growth framework. In this setting, growth and inflation are … linked via the incentive to innovate. For standard calibrations, the linkage is strong: as trend inflation shifts from -5 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580023
. This paper continues this strand of research by examining the role survey expectations play in the inflation process and … reports three principal findings. One, short-run inflation expectations appear to play a significant role in explaining U ….S. inflation over the past 20-25 years. Two, long-run expectations generally do not appear to have a direct influence on U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374709
-looking Euler equation ; time-varying trend inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153334
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091
examine the relevance of the cost channel for inflation dynamics in G7 countries. Since firms' costs of working capital … inflation responses to monetary policy shocks, and can even lead to inverse inflation responses, when the cost channel is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009524830