Benedetto, Francesco; Giunta, Gaetano; Mastroeni, Loretta - Dipartimento di Economia, Università degli Studi di Roma 3 - 2014
This paper proposes a novel method for assessing the predictability of energy market time series, by predicting the entropy of the series. According to conventional entropy-based analysis where the entropy is always ex-post estimated), high entropy values characterize unpredictable series, while...