Recent research has revealed a wealth of information about the microeconomics of currency markets and thus the determination of exchange rates at short horizons. This information is valuable to us as scientists since, like evidence of macroeconomic regularities, it can provide critical guidance...

The present article offers a careful description of empirical identification of possible multiple changes in regime. We apply recently developed tools designed to select among regime-switching models among a broad class of linear and nonlinear regression models and provide a discussion of the...

The present article offers a careful description of empirical identification of possible multiple changes in regime. We apply recently developed tools designed to select among regime-switching models among a broad class of linear and nonlinear regression models and provide a discussion of the...

Within a flexible parametric regression framework (Hamilton, 2001) we provide further evidence on the existence of a nonlinear component in the quarterly growth rate of the US real GNP. We implement a battery of new tests for neglected nonlinearity based on the theory of random fields (Dahl and...

Within a flexible parametric regression framework (Hamilton, 2001) we provide further evidence on the existence of a nonlinear component in the quarterly growth rate of the US real GNP. We implement a battery of new tests for neglected nonlinearity based on the theory of random fields (Dahl and...