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On average, "young" people underestimate whereas "old" people overestimate their chances to survive into the future. We adopt a Bayesian learning model of ambiguous survival beliefs which replicates these patterns. The model is embedded within a non-expected utility model of life-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092823
life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, young people also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629177
is compared with hyperbolic discounting within a standard life-cycle setting of consumption and savings. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340559
and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) with life table data from the Human Mortality Database this study provides first …. Based on a data set that matches subjective survival expectations and savings indicators from the Survey of Health, Ageing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551704
) based on subjective survival expectations elicited in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) and … matching data on longevity risk from the Human Mortality Database. We find a positive relationship between the forecast … longevity risk. Our analysis of savings behavior shows that the dispersion in survival estimates is primarily explained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010688113
Theoretical studies suggest that unexpected changes in future mortality and survival probabilities (stochastic … mortality) are important determinants of individuals’ decisions about consumption, saving, asset allocation, and retirement … timing. Using data on subjective survival expectations elicited in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008606481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726190
We survey retail investors at an online bank to study beliefs about the autocorrelation of aggregate stock returns, and how these beliefs shape investment decisions measured in administrative account data. Individuals' beliefs exhibit substantial heterogeneity and predict trading responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799463
We survey retail investors at an online bank to study beliefs about the autocorrelation of aggregate stock returns, and how these beliefs shape investment decisions measured in administrative account data. Individuals' beliefs exhibit substantial heterogeneity and predict trading responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669739
Traditionally, households have been seen as acting as a single unit when it comes to savings. Although this might be … correct for some parts of household savings, we question the correctness of the unitary model with respect to non …-mandatory retirement savings. Therefore we analyze the intra-household allocation of retirement savings between partners in Germany taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582956