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Estimates of the "output gap" play a significant role in the thinking of inflation- targeting central banks. This note outlines how the Reserve Bank estimates the level of potential output and the output gap.facing small advanced economies, such as New Zealand.
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Using data from the Household Economic Survey we examine the vulnerability of several cohorts of owner-occupiers who had recently taken out mortgages. We focus particularly on the period leading up to the introduction of the "speed limit" on high LVR mortgage lending.
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