Showing 521 - 530 of 602
This paper proposes a contemporaneous-threshold smooth transition GARCH (or CSTGARCH) model for dynamic conditional … threshold autoregressive model of Dueker et al. (2007), in which the regime weights depend on the ex ante probability that a … contemporaneous latent regime-specific variable exceeds a threshold value. A key feature of the C-STGARCH model is that its transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041760
threshold specifications that allow only two possible regimes: low or high volatility. In this paper, the possibility of … threshold model is preferred for stock returns, a smooth-transition model is more likely for exchange rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046473
is better characterized as nonlinearity. The paper revisits the issue by employing the threshold regressions with … instrumental variables approach. Using the initial level of economic development as a threshold variable, we find strong evidence … in support of a nonlinear income threshold in the relationship. In particular, the data show that an increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046506
We compare the ability of correlation and threshold effects in a stochastic volatility model to capture the asymmetric … correlation does a better job of capturing asymmetry than a threshold stochastic volatility model even though it has fewer … parameters. We develop a stochastic volatility model that includes both threshold effects and correlated innovations. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046515
applications. For example, we notice that positively correlated arrival process appears to benefit with the threshold type queueing … model. We also give the minimum delay costs and the associated maximum setup costs so that the threshold type queueing model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047172
In a sample selection or treatment effects model, common unobservables may affect both the outcome and the probability of selection in unknown ways. This paper shows that the distribution function of potential outcomes, conditional on covariates, can be identified given an observed variable V...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027836
the US government deficit per capita as a threshold autoregressive process. We find evidence that the US budget deficit is … certain threshold. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450621
This paper considers the size effect, where volatility dynamics are dependant upon the current level of volatility within an stochastic volatility framework. A non-linear filtering algorithm is proposed where the dynamics of the latent variable is conditioned on its current level. This allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416585
Detection turning points in unimodel has various applications to time series which have cyclic periods. Related techniques are widely explored in the field of statistical surveillance, that is, on-line turning point detection procedures. This paper will first present a power controlled turning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734789
In this paper, we discuss the dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination. When the noise is large, the infective decays exponentially to zero regardless of the magnitude of R0. When the noise is small, sufficient conditions for extinction exponentially and persistence in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010742334