Mortgage lenders impose a default premium on the loans they originate to compensate for the possibility that borrowers won’t make payments. The housing boom of the 2000s was characterized by increasing riskiness of the borrowers approved for mortgages and the structures of the loans...

markets, as well as predictions for optimal default by borrowers.

In recent papers Matthew Rabin and Richard H. Thaler have argued that expected utility theory generates implausible predictions about individuals' attitudes toward small vs. large risks. Specifically, these authors argued that expected utility theory, plus the assertion that individuals reject...

The single most important proposition in economic theory, first stated by Adam Smith, is that competitive markets do a good job allocating resources. Vilfredo Pareto’s later formulation was more precise than Smith’s, and also highlighted the dependence of Smith’s proposition on assumptions...

Recent years have seen a protracted debate on the "fiscal theory of the price level". This doctrine is based on the intertemporal government budget constraint, which says that the real value of the government debt equals the discounted value of future government surpluses. It is observed that...

Bubbles, such as money, cannot be valued in efficient equilibria in overlapping generations models (a borderline case aside). Analysts frequently attribute this result to the fact that if bubbles were valued, the bubble must eventually exceed the endowment of the young. This implies negative...