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The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the … economic relation on the basis of which the NAIRU is derived. -- Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment ; state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657146
The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the … economic relation on the basis of which the NAIRU is derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991082
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the inflation surge is attributed to temporary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
The terms "NAIRU" and "natural rate of unemployment" are not interchangeable. Further, while there is a consensus that … the NAIRU represents an empirical macroeconomic relationship, little agreement exists regarding what is meant by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209548
. Our results show that the Natural Rate/NAIRU has increased by approximately 1.5 percentage points since the 1970s, driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
The NAIRU is a key component of potential output and as such critically affects output gap estimates. In May 2014, the … European Commission changed its specification of the NAIRU for several countries and lowered its NAIRU estimates - in the case … of Spain from 26.6% to 20.7% for 2015. To test the dependence of the new NAIRU on unemployment versus structural factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458229
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies the compartmentalisation of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003736446
The Phillips curve has generally been estimated in a linear framework. This paper investigates the possibility that the Phillips curve is indeed a curve, and shows that a convex short-run Phillips curve may be a more accurate representation of reality than the traditionally used linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132857
Estimates of the Nairu generally suffer from a large uncertainty, which can be reduced by adopting a bivariate …, it appears that the Nairu can substantially differ from the unemployment trend. Second, relaxing the common trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120707
The main goal of the paper is to estimate the NAIRU for Croatian economy and to discuss the implications of this … indicator. The paper provides time-varying estimates of the NAIRU for 2000q1-2011q1 period, which were obtained by applying the … average registered unemployment rate. The dynamics of the estimated NAIRU points to the ability of the NAIRU to reveal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082339