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The experience of the past decade illustrates the sensitivity of inflation in emerging markets to rapidly rising food prices.
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Commodities of all sorts have risen in price over the past few years. Some say that the prices reflect a bubble, driven by low interest rates and excessive speculation. Others say the price gains can be fully explained by supply and demand.
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From 1999 to 2004 Japan unilaterally sold a combined, and unprecedented, 500 billion dollars of yen.
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Using a self-exciting threshold autoregressive model, we confirm the presence of nonlinearities in sectoral real exchange rate (SRER) dynamics across Mexico, Canada and the US in the pre-NAFTA and post-NAFTA periods. Measuring transaction costs using the estimated threshold bands, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211929
When analyzing terms-of-trade shocks, it is implicitly assumed that the economy responds symmetrically to changes in export and import prices. Using a sample of developing countries our paper shows that this is not the case. We construct export and import price indices using commodity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250081
The assessment of external positions and exchange rates is a key mandate of the IMF. This paperpresents the updated External Balance Assessment (EBA) framework-a key input in the conduct ofmultilaterally-consistent external sector assessments of 49 advanced and emerging marketeconomies-following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888758