The primary focus of this paper is to develop a retail credit scoring model specifically suitable for financial institutions from emerging economies, where availability of reliable data is scarce. In addition, the study seeks to illustrate the efficacy of such credit scoring models and emphasize...

This paper proposes an integrated risk-management framework that includes:1) measuring the risk of credit portfolios, 2) implementing a (macro) stress test, and 3) setting risk limits using the estimated systematic latent factor specific to capture the housing market cycle. To this end, we...

The main objective of this study is to indicate the influence of local macroeconomic factors, consequently GDP growth rates, the reference interest rate, industrial production growth rates, Warsaw Stock Exchange Index (WIG) returns and the volume of private equity investments, on the number of...

This paper presents a micro-econometric approach to corporate tax modelling. Using firm level panel data of UK companies in three diverse sectors, the paper examines the impact of different variables on corporate tax liabilities of the firms. Many strong results stand out which suggest that...

History of scenario planning at Rabobank. Describing the interest rate scenarios and the consumer scenarios that prepared Rabobank for the following credit crisis, housing crisis and pension crisis (Japan scenario)

The paper describes the fiscal framework used in long-term economic scenarios, with some emphasis on revisions made since the 2013 vintage of the long-term model. Long-term projections for public spending on pensions, health and long-term care are now separate from other primary expenditure and...

This Occasional Study wraps up the modelling work that has been done in recent years regarding DNB's multi-country model EUROMON. It offers a description of the current version of the model and provides information about its simulation properties through the analysis of variety of standard...

Regulatory capital for trading book positions includes two components that cover different risks but apply to the same portfolio, one for market risk and one for credit risk. Similar approaches are common in banks' internal models for economic capital. Although it is known that joint market and...

In this paper we review the actual operational data of an anonymous Central European Bank, using two approaches described in the literature: the loss distribution approach and the extreme value theory (EVT). Within the EVT analysis, two estimation methods were applied; the standard maximum...