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variables using ARIMA modelling and present a picture of the Indian economy in the coming years. The findings indicate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002541
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978906
from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
macroeconomic time series have important predictive power for NBER recession dates. A pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131074
family (ARCH, GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH and PGARCH) and ARIMA models are used to assess and forecast volatilities in prices on … the Nigeria stock market. The EGARCH model is found to be the most efficient for forecasting volatilities and has the … years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961666
family (ARCH, GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH and PGARCH) and ARIMA models are used to assess and forecast volatilities in prices on … the Nigeria stock market. The EGARCH model is found to be the most efficient for forecasting volatilities and has the … years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843540
forecasting horizon we either favour a denoising step plus an ARIMA forecast or an multiscale wavelet decomposition plus an ARIMA … incorporating the wavelet transform in existing forecasting methods can improve their quality. The article aims to verify this by … characteristics. We find that wavelets do improve the forecasting quality. Depending on the data's characteristics and on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300727
Schwarz. In this paper I evaluate the predictive ability of the Akaike and Schwarz information criteria using autoregressive integrated moving average models, with sectoral data of Chilean GDP. In terms of root mean square error, and after the estimation of more than a million models, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418476