We examine factors that may contribute to 'overconfidence' in relative ability on an intelligence test. We test … an equilibrium strategy, providing a rationale for strategic overconfidence. …

salient perturbations, we propose a strategic foundation of overconfidence. Since overconfident statements are used in …

structures. We conduct maze-solving experiments under both reward structures and reveal that overconfidence is a significant … factor in increasing productivity. Specifically, subjects exhibiting progressively higher degrees of overconfidence solve … more mazes. This result shows a positive aspect of overconfidence, which usually has been examined in its negative aspect …

lead to a negative relationship between performance and overestimation, even if skill and overconfidence are unrelated. To … clarify the role of measurement error, we restate the Dunning Kruger effect in terms of skill and overconfidence. We show that …

We examine consumer certainty of future preferences and overconfidence in predicting future preferences. We explore how … preference certainty and overconfidence impact the option value to revise today's decisions in the future. We design a laboratory … overconfidence in predicting future preferences as: the difference between actual accuracy at predicting future choices and stated …

information leads people to choose tasks that raise expected output, however extreme overconfidence leads people to undertake … tasks that are excessively challenging. Consistent with our results, psychologists have found that moderate overconfidence …

relatively. We test three different theories about observed relative overconfidence. The first theory notes that simple … asymmetry produces overconfidence (Kőszegi, 2006; Weinberg, 2006). We test an important specific prediction of these models … might make this belief worse. Our data also reject this prediction. The third theory is that overconfidence is induced by …

underrepresentation of women, namely, gender differences in overconfidence concerning past performance, in the willingness to exaggerate … past performance to the group, and in the reaction to monetary incentives. We find that men's overconfidence is the driving …