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panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic 'fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation procedure to cope with the documented difficulties of previous methodologies. We … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
quanto index contracts, and show via panel regressions that the quanto forecast variable is a statistically and economically …
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panel cointegration techniques to derive fully countryspecific measures of misalignment and measures based on panel …-of-sample performance prior to comparing it to two final panel specifications. Robustness of the results is supported by recently introduced … cross-sectionally augmented panel unit root tests by Pesaran (2007) and bootstrapped error correction-based panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
In this paper we evaluate the predictive power of the three most popular equilibrium exchange rate concepts: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and the Macroeconomic Balance (MB) approach. We show that there is a clear trade-off between storytelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139745
The forward unbiasedness regression is revisited by varying the prediction horizons from 1 day to 1 year. The panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225568
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using time series data from 1980 to 2004. We first estimate a panel data model (using fixed and random effects) for the real … of real exchange rate misalignment using panel cointegration methods. The variables used in our real exchange rate models …-step System GMM panel growth models indicate that the coefficients for real exchange rate misalignment are positive for different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969632