I construct a behavioral model of asset pricing in which agents choose whether to base their expectations on chartist or fundamental forecasts. I simulate the model in order to test its efficacy in explaining the moments and time series properties of the FTSE All-Share index, and find that the...

From the Publisher: A brilliantly original assessment of what caused the global crash-and a practical plan for investing accordingly. Supercycles, according to international economist and strategist, Arun Motianey, are the continuous, long waves of boom and bust that undulate through the global...

Bestselling author John Talbott outlines the troublesomeeconomic times ahead and what can be done about them Tough times are here, and author John Talbott-who accuratelypredicted the dot.com technology stock collapse as well as therecent housing, mortgage, and financial crises-argues that...

"A model is developed which rationalizes contracts that give depositors the right to obtain funds on demand even when depositors intend to use these funds for consumption in the future. This is explained by depositor overoptimism regarding their own ability to collect funds in a run. Capitalized...