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This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
inflation combined with a free float seems to be the ultimate option. The paper shows how to design and operationalize such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768835
-side flexibility are indeed the main channel through which monetary policy lowers the volatility of inflation and, even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263913
This paper motivates and describes an approach to forecasting and monetary policy analysis based on the use of a simple structural macroeconomic model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. It contrasts this approach with financial programming and its emphasis on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768925
Extending recent theoretical contributions on sources of inflation inertia, we argue that monetary uncertainty accounts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769267
-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790253
After a long period of global price stability, in 2008 inflation increased sharply following unprecedented increases in … the price of oil and other commodities, notably food. Although inflation remained lower and growth higher in inflation … world slowdown helped avert the worse, but inflation stayed high in many inflation targeting countries. This paper uses a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528610
The Maastricht inflation criterion, designed in the early 1990s to bring "high-inflation" EU countries in line with … "low-inflation" countries prior to the introduction of the euro, poses challenges for both new EU member countries and the … European Central Bank. While the criterion has positively influenced the public stance toward low inflation, it has biased the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605112
, Uganda (both de jure money targeters), and Ghana (a de jure inflation targeter), and compare the de facto adherence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542989
adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union … credibility, and that a positive inflation target, as opposed to zero inflation, leads to higher and less volatile output. These … countries supports country-specific flexible inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605065