This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. We model a referendum in which a voter chooses between two policies. The voter relies on a forecaster to learn about the macroeconomic consequences of the policies. The...

Introduction -- The Political Economy of Raw Materials in the Global Paper Industry 1861-1960 -- The Esparto Grass Trade -- The Pursuit of Wood Pulp -- Bamboo for Papermaking -- The Paper Trade and the British Empire -- A Retrospective View of the British Paper Industry -- Conclusions.