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We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
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This is a forthcoming study on how euro-zone announcements and bailouts affect fixed income markets. In particular …, this paper examines volumes, levels, and yields of euro-zone bonds around the time when macroeconomic announcements are …
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French, Italian, German and Spanish long-term sovereign bonds during the culmination of the Eurozone debt crisis in 2011 … bond's yields, although Germany's rating status was never touched by CRA. There is no evidence for Granger causality from …-time capital allocation in the Eurozone. Their downgradings caused investors to rebalance their portfolios across member countries …
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We evaluate the effects of three ECB policies (the Securities Markets Programme, the Outright Monetary Transactions, and the Long-Term Refinancing Operations) on government bond yields. We use a novel Kalman-filter augmented event-study approach and yields on euro-denominated sovereign bonds,...
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