A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …

This paper investigates the effects of inflation news coverage on market-based inflation expectations and outcomes in … the inflation-protected securities market. We employ a large corpus of news headlines from top U.S. newspapers and market … data on the U.S. yield curve and inflation-protected securities. Our results indicate that news coverage, particularly …

attain local stationarity and bounded mean values. The model is applied to the analysis of inflation dynamics. Allowing for …

In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … forecasting models from among the different candidates. I find that VAR_m2 is the best monthly model to forecast inflation in …

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability …, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation … relationship between inflation, output growth, nominal and real uncertainties from 2000 till now. In other words, we test the …

ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …

ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …