Bertschinger, Nils; Pfante, Oliver - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 12/301, pp. 1-24
Volatility clustering and fat tails are prominently observed in financial markets. Here, we analyze the underlying … volatility. Second, we introduce three different indicators to predict those onsets. Each of the three indicators is derived from …, yet, over very short time horizons high or rising volatility exhibits some predictive power. …