Unemployment recoveries in the US have been inexorable. Between 1948 and 2019, the annual reduction in the unemployment …, unemployment continues to glide down. Occasionally, unemployment rises rapidly during an economic crisis, while most of the time …, unemployment declines slowly and smoothly at a near-constant proportional rate. We show that similar properties hold for other …

understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment … mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks … that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial …

unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the … recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new … one-third of the total observed increase in the unemployment rate, whereas geographical mismatch plays no apparent role …

between vacancies and unemployment with a structural change-an outward shift-around 1986. …