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role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk … aversion on IEA formation under no learning. Combining learning and risk aversion seems appropriate as the uncertainties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059058
We study the optimal adaptation to extreme climate events by the central government in a setup where events are dynamically uncertain and the government does not know the true probabilities of events. We analyze different policy decision rules minimizing expected welfare losses for sites with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806379
of climate risk that is significantly amplified and increasing in magnitude as climate change increases due to aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255764
Using a simple analytical model incorporating benefits of a stock, costs of adjusting the stock, and uncertainty in costs, we uncover several important principles governing the choice of price-based policies (e.g., taxes) relative to quantity-based policies (e.g., tradable permits) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014159606
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the 'fat tail', on the formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690831
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries' behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower, treaties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684058
economic model. Modern decision theory and its applications to finance show that this discounted expected utility model is … incapable of simultaneously capturing adequate risk premia and a reasonable discount rate, leading to the equity premium and the … risk-free rate puzzles. We follow the finance literature in disentangling risk aversion from the propensity to smooth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081380
and decisionmaking? Third, how does the discussion of risk and uncertainty as originally proposed by Frank Knight (1921 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084265
The Integrated Assessment Models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change rely heavily on negative emissions technologies [NETs] for scenarios that keep global temperature rise to 2° C or lower. One favoured NET is bio-energy combined with carbon capture and storage [BECCS]. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960209
This paper is a revised version of: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=2667972" https://ssrn.com/abstract=2667972.The Analytic Climate Economy (ACE) closes a gap between analytic climate change assessments and quantitative numeric integrated assessment models (IAMs) used in policy advising. Its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896033