This paper analyzes the interaction between oil prices and macroeconomic outcomes by incorporating oil as an input in production alongside a precautionary motive for holding oil in a real-business-cycle model. The driving forces are factor-specific technology shocks and supply shocks that can be...

The relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables like crude oil price, exchange rate, gold price, GDP, Inflation etc. have been widely studied in the context of developed countries and few studies on emerging and developing countries are also done. An attempt is made here to...

The impact of the OPEC cartel on crude oil prices is the subject of considerable discussion in the literature but there is little analysis of what crude oil producing nations actually do. Regime shift tests, using U. S. Energy Information Administration monthly crude oil production data from...

This paper investigates the causal impact of oil price fluctuations on financial markets since January 2014. Following a heteroscedasticity-based event study approach, the paper instruments changes in oil prices by exogenous shocks in oil supply. It finds that oil price declines raise...

Important interaction has been established for US economic policy uncertainty with a number of economic and financial variables including oil prices. This paper examines the dynamic effects of US and non-US oil production shocks on economic policy uncertainty using a structural VAR model. Such...

Improving living standards amidst falling oil prices among countries relying heavily on an ample supply of oil presents numerous challenges. Therefore, the relationship associated with oil price changes with identifiable metrics that explain standards of living becomes critical. The following...

This paper explores a range of different forecast methods for Brent oil prices and analyses their performance relative to oil futures and the random walk over the period 1995Q1-2015Q2, including periods of stable, upwardly trending and rapidly dropping oil prices. None of the individual methods...

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...

This paper examines both the linear and nonlinear causal relationship between crude oil price changes and stock market returns in India. In particular, the study applies alternative unit root tests with and without structural break to ascertain the shifts in crude oil price changes and stock...

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...