Important interaction has been established for US economic policy uncertainty with a number of economic and financial variables including oil prices. This paper examines the dynamic effects of US and non-US oil production shocks on economic policy uncertainty using a structural VAR model. Such...

Benchmark crude oils exhibited dramatic fluctuations in price spreads in the recent decade, a phenomenon that rarely occurred in earlier decades. This paper develops a rational expectations two-period model of spatial price equilibrium, and departs from standard models by assuming increasing...

The present paper endeavours to analyse the volatility spill over between crude oil price and exchange rate for India using daily data for time period June 2003 to March 2016. To examine the impact of oil price on exchange rate of Indian Rupee against U.S. Dollar, Generalised Autoregressive...

Pakistan has been through many phases of inflation and a tremendous amount of research is conducted. The research gap identified was the effect on inflation in Pakistan by plunging crude oil prices. This research paper focuses the impact of plunging oil prices on the Pakistan's economy during...

We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...

This paper focuses on forecasting quarterly energy prices of commodities, such as oil, gas and coal, using the Global VAR dataset proposed by Mohaddes and Raissi (2018). This dataset includes a number of potentially informative quarterly macroeconomic variables for the 33 largest economies,...

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...

This study analyzes price and volatility transmissions between nineteen real estate investment trusts (REITs) markets and the oil market. The REITs data represents a variety of countries at different stages of their development and the expanded analytical approach includes accounting for...

There is an ongoing debate on how oil prices affect the stock prices of clean energy companies. We contribute to this debate by questioning the possibility of asymmetric linkages between oil prices, interest rates, and the stock prices of clean energy and technology firms. Using a recently...

We use volatility impulse response analysis estimated from the bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to quantify the size and the persistence of different types of oil price shocks on stock return volatility and the covariance between oil price changes and stock returns for a wide range of net...