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This paper surveys bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods for testing hypotheses in econometrics. Several different ways of computing bootstrap P values are discussed, including the double bootstrap and the fast double bootstrap. It is emphasized that there are many different procedures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940741
We study several tests for the coefficient of the single right-hand-side endogenous variable in a linear equation estimated by instrumental variables. We show that writing all the test statistics -- Student's t, Anderson-Rubin, the LM statistic of Kleibergen and Moreira (K), and likelihood ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940771
In practice, bootstrap tests must use a finite number of bootstrap samples. This means that the outcome of the test will depend on the sequence of random numbers used to generate the bootstrap samples, and it necessarily results in some loss of power. We examine the extent of this power loss and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290405
The size and power of the Wald, Edgeworth expansion corrected likelihood-ratio statistic (LRE), and bootstrap tests for Granger causality in integrated-cointegrated VAR systems are considered. By using Monte Carlo methods and simple graphical techniques, the p-value plots, and power-size plots,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620824
We propose a new pooled panel unit root test allowing for serial and contemporaneous correlation. The test combines Elliott et al. (1996) local-to-unity transformation with a pooled panel ADF test, and accounts for contemporaneous correlation by estimating the residual covariance matrix. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005476025
The size and power of the Wald, Edgeworth expansion corrected likelihood-ratio statistic (LRE), and bootstrap tests for Granger causality in integrated-cointegrated VAR systems are considered. By using Monte Carlo methods and simple graphical techniques, the p-value plots, and power-size plots,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005459065
We discuss computational aspects of likelihood-based specification, estimation,inference, and forecasting of possibly nonstationary series with long memory. We use the \ARFIMA$(p,d,q)$ model with deterministic regressors and we compare sampling characteristics of approximate and exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972204
We conduct an extensive examination of profitability of technical analysis in ten emerging foreign exchange markets. Studying 25988 trading strategies for emerging foreign exchange markets, we find that best rules can sometimes generate an annually mean excess return of more than 30%. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141002
A novel simulation-based methodology is proposed to test the validity of a set of marginal time series models, where the dependence structure between the time series is taken ‘directly’ from the observed data. The procedure is useful when one wants to summarize the test results for several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257126
We propose to model multivariate volatility processes on the basis of the newly defined conditionally uncorrelated components (CUCs). This model represents a parsimonious representation for matrix-valued processes. It is flexible in the sense that each CUC may be fitted separately with any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125942