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We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal monetary and fiscal policy, the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Large pessimistic shocks to expectations can lead...
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in response solely to future inflation induce real indeterminacy of equilibrium. Applying the Samuelson … by itself has a quantitatively negligible effect and almost all strict inflation-targeting rules lead to indeterminacy … stickiness, indeterminacy is much less likely to occur as policy also responds to output. With estimated labor supply elasticity …
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