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Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This paper considers both of them together in a simple New Keynesian monetary business cycle model. A full set of rational expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300732
We demonstrate the possibility of indeterminacy and non-existence of equilibrium dynamics in a standard business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303900
Determinacy of equilibrium under the original, the backward-looking, the forward-looking and the hybrid Phillips curves is examined. If the monetary authority keeps the nominal money stock to be constant, the equilibrium path is always determinate under the original Phillips curve and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332226
source of indeterminacy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332308
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in … the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply … systematically. That indeterminacy arises only at a knife-edge set of aggregate supplies allows for a simple explanation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599497
This paper shows that the conditions under which inflation-targeting interest rate rules lead to equilibrium uniqueness in a small open economy in general differ from those in a closed economy. As the monetary authority adjusts nominal interest rates in response to inflation, the real interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604308
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A number of authors have attempted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1 displays...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604323
We study identiÞcation in a class of three-equation monetary models. We argue that these models are typically not identiÞed. For any given exactly identiÞed model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalent models that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604369