The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the /US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by profes-sional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hy-pothesis. This dismal result is according...

This paper attempts to formalise the effect of demographic variables like marital status, gender, occupation and age on the source of investment advice which in turn affect the herd behaviour of investors and probability of investment in near future. Further, postulations have been made for most...

The theory of behavioral economics examines the behavior of individuals in markets in order to examine, explain and predict individual behavior. The psychology of behavior has evolved in order to explain the impact of emotions and most common cognitive errors in the decision-making process of...

In this paper, we investigate the question whether the changing beliefs in different countries may be driven by common investors' sentiment. We examine this issue by investigating the relationship between the degree of switching in two major stock markets, the USA and the UK, for a long period...

This article surveys boundedly rational heterogeneous agent (BRHA) models of financial markets. We give particular emphasis to the role of the market clearing mechanism used, the utility function of the investors, the interaction of price and wealth dynamics, and calibration of this class of...

Pursuing our previous work in which the classical notion of increasing convex stochastic dominance relation with respect to a probability has been extended to the case of a normalised monotone (but not necessarily additive) set function also called a capacity, the present paper gives a...

In this article, we provide a unified framework which can take into account numerous behavioural anomalies observed in financial markets (disposition effect, under- and overreaction phenomena and so on). Our general theoretical framework uses both cognitive and perceptual theories of emotion....

This paper discusses whether psychological biases (overconfidence and mood), and social intelligence (in the form of self-monitoring) influence individual investors' decision making and their trading behaviour (trading frequency, volume and performance). Indeed, the literature review reveals...

Money illusion in economic theory has been an assumption rejected by academic economists for quite some time. However, with the gradual diffusion of behavioural economics based on experimental research this has changed. Now, it has become a respected fact to accept money illusion as a stylized...

В статье представлены основы теории поведенческих финансов, главной из которых является теория перспектив Д. Канемана и А. Тверски, определены предпосылки ее...