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We consider the response of both nominal and real commodity prices on world markets to real and nominal shocks by hypothesizing that nominal shocks can permanently affect nominal commodity prices, but can have only temporary effect on real commodity prices. Real shocks, in contrast, can have...
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Using Australian capital city data from 1984Q3-2008Q2, this paper utilizes a dynamic present value model within a VAR framework to construct fundamental time series of house prices depicting what aggregate house prices should be given expectations of future real disposable income - the...
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This paper studies actual house prices relative to fundamental house prices. Using UK data and a time-varying present value approach, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamental value (as warranted by real disposable income) are significant but not dominated by speculative...
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This paper studies actual (real) house prices relative to fundamental (real) house values in New Zealand for the period 1970-2005. Utilizing a dynamic present value model, we find disparities between actual and fundamental house prices in the early 1970s and 1980s and from 2000 to date. We model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775701
Using data from five major stock markets and a vector autoregression estimation procedure underpinned by the traditional intertemporal capital asset pricing model, initial evidence suggests that the UK investing community is particularly prejudiced in terms of short-termist behaviour. The...
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The seminal study by Fama and MacBeth (1973) initiated a stream of papers testing for the cross-sectional relation between return and risk. The debate wether beta is a valid measure of risk has been renimated by Fama and French (1992) and subsequent studies. Rather than focusing on exogenous...
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