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The TRYM model is a dynamic general equilibrium model of the Australian economy that is maintained by the Australian Treasury. It is used by Treasury as one input into the process of policy analysis and economic forecasting. As part of ongoing review of the model, we have been examining the...
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We use past forecast errors to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget.
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This article will analyse the structural and cyclical factors affecting past and expected future Australian Government tax receipts. As a share of the economy, taxes are expected to remain well below the levels of the mid-2000s.
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The determination of an optimal feeding and marketing strategy for a beef grazing enterprise is formulated as a dynamic programming problem. It is supposed that a decision has to be made from time to time as to whether to market animals at their current weights or to retain them for further...
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The European Union's (EU's) Framework Programmes of Research and Technological Development are subject to increasingly systematic evaluation. This paper reviews available evalua-tion evidence from the period 1999 to 2004, and concludes that the Framework Programmes appear to bring many benefits...
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We investigate the economically and statistically significant positive correlation between monthly foreign purchases of Mexican stocks and Mexican stock returns. We find that a 1 percent of market capitalization surprise foreign inflow is associated with a 13 percent increase in Mexican stock...
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