This paper presents empirical evidence of short and long-run predictability in stock returns for European transition economies. We employ Variance Ratios with a bootstrap methodology to test for short-run predictability, which is present in most countries. We also estimate Hurst exponents to...

We investigate the determinants of the capital structure of Brazilian companies between 2000 and 2009. We use a quantile regression model and compare its results with the ones provided by conventional models (least squares and fixed effects). We show that the effects of the capital structure...

Recent literature has focused on the study of systemic risk in complex networks. It is clear now, after the crisis of 2008, that the aggregate behavior of the interaction among agents is not straightforward and it is very difficult to predict. Contributing to this debate, this paper shows that...

This paper investigates the topological properties of the Brazilian stock market networks. We build the minimum spanning tree, which is based on the concept of ultrametricity, using the correlation matrix for a variety of stocks of different sectors. Our results suggest that stocks tend to...

Using disaggregated data from the Brazilian stock market, we calculate default probabilities for 30 different economic sectors. Empirical results suggest that domestic macroeconomic factors can explain these default probabilities. In addition, we construct the Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) and the...

A major issue in statistical physics literature is the study of the long range dependence phenomenon usually presented in natural, social and financial processes. In particular, a big part of this literature relies on the determination of a parameter known as the Hurst exponent. Although many...

Non-extensive thermodynamics is one of the most intriguing physics new frontiers. A large number of researchers have been successfully finding connections between the new concepts introduced by this new field and other complex systems already presented. In particular, Borland [Phys. Rev. E 57...

In this paper a simple test for detecting bilinearity in a stochastic unit root process is used to test for the presence of rational bubbles in banking equity indices. The empirical evidence for a set of 39 banking indices for different countries, after adjusting for GARCH effects, suggests that...

This paper investigates the topological properties of the Brazilian term structure of interest rates network. We build the minimum spanning tree (MST), which is based on the concept of ultrametricity, using the correlation matrix for interest rates of different maturities. We show that the...