Showing 1 - 10 of 5,951
We propose a modified time lag random matrix theory in order to study time lag cross-correlations in multiple time series. We apply the method to 48 world indices, one for each of 48 different countries. We find long-range power-law cross-correlations in the absolute values of returns that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130120
Financial markets exhibit a complex hierarchy among different processes, e.g. a trading time marks the initiation of a trade, and a trade triggers a price change. High-frequency trading data arrive at random times. By combining stochastic and agent-based approaches, we develop a model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976273
We study how the presence of correlations in physical variables contributes to the form of probability distributions. We investigate a process with correlations in the variance generated by (i) a Gaussian or (ii) a truncated L\'{e}vy distribution. For both (i) and (ii), we find that due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083936
We develop a scale-invariant truncated L\'evy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits L\'evy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling properties (as observed in empirical data); it has the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084315
In finance, one usually deals not with prices but with growth rates $R$, defined as the difference in logarithm between two consecutive prices. Here we consider not the trading volume, but rather the volume growth rate $\tilde R$, the difference in logarithm between two consecutive values of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008693854
We analyze the size dependence and temporal stability of firm bankruptcy risk in the US economy by applying Zipf scaling techniques. We focus on a single risk factor-the debt-to-asset ratio R-in order to study the stability of the Zipf distribution of R over time. We find that the Zipf exponent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008693858
Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US housing market (1975-2011) at the state level based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727646
We report quantitative relations between corruption level and economic factors, such as country wealth and foreign investment per capita, which are characterized by a power law spanning multiple scales of wealth and investments per capita. These relations hold for diverse countries, and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098814
We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multi-variate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099259
In order to investigate whether government regulations against corruption can affect the economic growth of a country, we analyze the dependence between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita growth rates and changes in the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI). For the period 1999-2004 on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099373