We generate a longitudinal dataset using the rotating panel component of the nationally representative Labour Force Surveys from 2001 to 2003. We then estimate the transition probabilities across different labour market states over a six month period. We find that unemployed searchers are more...

This paper has two broad objectives. The first objective is broadly methodological and deals with some of the more pertinent estimation issues one should be aware of when studying the impact of health status on economic outcomes. We discuss some alternatives for constructing counterfactuals when...

The best place to begin a study of human settlement is with climate. Most of the Western Cape province - the land lying north of a line running parallel to the southern coast approximately 100 kilometers inland, from Worcester to Uniondale - is too dry for arable farming. And the rain which does...

This paper develops a stochastic model of grade repetition to analyze the large racial differences in progress through secondary school in South Africa. The model predicts that a larger stochastic component in the link between learning and measured performance will generate higher enrollment,...

There are many household surveys, e.g. the Demographic and Health Surveys, that carry a wealth of useful information but in which information of interest to economists, chiefly or missing altogether. In many of these surveys, however, there are questions about asset ownership. These might be...

This paper constructs a 'synthetic panel' from successive years of the October Household Surveys and Labour Force Surveys, and shows that new insights into the South African labour market are revealed when groups of individuals, defined by their date of birth, are followed from 1995 to 2004....

I argue that the estimation technique - widely used in the poverty mapping literature - introduced by Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw, is highly sensitive to specification, severely biased in finite samples, and almost certain to fail to estimate the poverty headcount consistently. First, I show...

This paper investigates the impact of livestock farming on rural livelihoods on redistributed commonage land in Namaqualand post-1994. The paper contends that farming has been declining for decades, where its contribution to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has declined from 10% in the 1970s to...

We show that the pseudo empirical maximum likelihood estimator can be recast as a calibration estimator. The process of estimating the probabilities pk of the distribution function can be done also in a maximum entropy framework. We suggest that a minimum cross-entropy estimator has attractive...

The publication by Servaas van der Berg and his colleagues at the University of Stellenbosch last year of a set of estimates of poverty headcounts and gaps, pointed to substantial success in the battle against poverty in South Africa in the period 2000-2004, an improvement attributable mainly to...