We consider a two-agent New Keynesian model with savers and hand-to-mouth households with quasi-separable utility functions as introduced by Bilbiie (2020a). This framework allows for separate parameterization of consumption-hours complementarity and income effects on labor supply. We examine...

We compile a novel high-frequency, detailed geographic dataset on mass layoffs from U.S. state labor departments. Using recent advances in difference-in-difference estimation with staggered treatment, we find that locally-mandated stay-at-home orders issued March 16–22, 2020 triggered mass...

In this paper we consider the predictors of the business cycle in Great Britain, where the claimant count and unemployment rate are found to be key indicators associated with turning points. Next, we consider at a micro-economic level, using disaggregated local authority level data, a number of...

We show that occupation mobility creates the illusion of cyclical hiring wages. Using administrative data, we find that wages of new hires who remain in the same occupation are no more cyclical than those of existing workers, whereas wages of occupation switchers are highly cyclical. We uncover...

We investigate how the level of corporate leverage affects firms' investment response to monetary policy shocks. Based on novel aggregate time series estimates, leverage acts amplifying, whereas in the cross section of firms, higher leverage predicts a muted response to monetary policy. We use a...

This paper empirically quantifies the importance of fiscal policy in shaping the monetary policy transmission mechanism and derives implications for monetary-fiscal interactions. First, we document that a contractionary monetary policy shock, besides lowering output and prices, leads to a...

In our paper, we provide a review of the literature to identify the main transmission channels through which geopolitical risks (GPR) influence m a cro-financial st ab ility. We be gi n by analyzing the existing measures of geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, showing that GPR impacts economic...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft tritt weiter auf der Stelle. Nachdem es zu Jahresbeginn noch so aussah, als spränge der Konjunkturmotor endlich an, gab es im zweiten Quartal einen kleinen Rückschlag. Obwohl die Einkommen steigen und die Inflation mittlerweile nahe der Zielmarke von zwei Prozent liegt,...