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Linear relationships between inflation, unemployment, and labor force are obtained for two European countries - Austria and France. The best fit models of inflation as a linear and lagged function of labor force change rate and unemployment explain more than 90% of observed variation (R2 greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217477
Past and future evolution of inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are represented as linear functions of the change rate of labor force level. These models provide an accurate description for disinflation in the 1990s and deflationary period in the 2000s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223116
This paper quantitatively demonstrates that modern estimates of income inequality based on the data reported by the IRS are not reliable. The principal problem of the estimates is highly volatile incomes of people in the low-end of income distribution. This volatility is likely related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223490
Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a consistent (conventional) Phillips curve despite some changes in monetary policy. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223809
The evolution of Gini coefficient for personal incomes in the USA between 1947 and 2005 is analyzed and modeled. There are several versions of personal income distribution (PID) provided by the US Census Bureau (US CB) for this period with various levels of resolution. Effectively, these PIDs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051565
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force growth rate has been recently found for the USA. It accurately describes the period after the late 1950s with linear coefficient 4.0, intercept -0.03, and the lag of 2 years. The previously reported agreement between observed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057105
Numerical modelling of the age-dependent personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is fulfilled based on a micro and macroeconomic model and results of the overall PID modelling. As expected from the age-dependent accuracy of the Current Population Surveys, the model has demonstrated an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059489
Growth rate of real GDP per capita is represented as a sum of two components - a monotonically decreasing economic trend and fluctuations related to a specific age population change. The economic trend is modeled by an inverse function of real GDP per capita with a numerator potentially constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059490
The Japanese economic behavior is modeled. GDP evolution is represented as a sum two components: economic tend and fluctuations. The trend is an inverse function of GDP per capita with a constant numerator. The growth rate fluctuations are numerically equal to two thirds of the relative change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059491
Inflation in the USA for the period between 1960 and 2004 is studied in the framework of evident rigidity of personal income distribution normalized to the total nominal GDP. Inflation is found to be a mechanism, which counters changes in the relative incomes induced by economic growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059492