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Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value of the duration of the period of mean income growth with work experience, Tcr. The second term is defined by relative change of the number of people of specific age (9 years of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010629877
The transition of several East European countries from the socialist economic system to the capitalist one is studied. A microeconomic model for the personal income distribution and its evolution and a simple functional relationship between the rate of the per capita GDP growth and the attained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630150
Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips stock price has been predicted using the difference between core and headline CPI in the United States. Linear trends in the CPI difference allow accurate prediction of the prices at a five to ten-year horizon.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711321
Okun’s law for the biggest developed countries is re-estimated using the most recent data on real GDP per capita and the rate of unemployment. Our results show that the change in unemployment rate can be predicted with a high accuracy. The link needs the introduction of a structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151289
We present a five-year revision of an empirical study started in 2007. Seven years ago, we found two three distinct periods characterized by sustainable linear trends in the difference between the headline consumer price index (CPI) and the core CPI in the USA. Then we revealed similar behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185388
We model the rate of inflation and unemployment in Austria since the early 1960s within the Phillips/Fisher framework. The change in labour force is the driving force representing economic activity in the Phillips curve. For Austria, this macroeconomic variable was first tested as a predictor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110150
Approximately two years ago we presented results of price modeling and extensive statistical analysis for share prices of five banks: Bank of America (BAC), Franklin Resources (BEN), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Morgan Stanley (MS). Using monthly closing prices (adjusted for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110482
There is an extensive historical dataset on real GDP per capita prepared by Angus Maddison. This dataset covers the period since 1870 with continuous annual estimates in developed countries. All time series for individual economies have a clear structural break between 1940 and 1950. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111323
Considering various measures of personal income and the evolution of the household size distribution we reveal major quantitative inconsistencies in the definition of household inequality. The changing composition of households in the U.S. is the only effect causing the observed increase in Gini...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112978
We have studied statistical characteristics of five share price time series. For each stock price, we estimated a best fit quantitative model for the monthly closing price as based on the decomposition into two defining consumer price indices selected from a large set of CPIs. It was found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113939