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The present paper compares the performance in terms of second order accurate welfare of opportunistic non-linear Taylor rules and with respect to traditional linear Taylor rules. The macroeconomic model representing the benchmark for the analysis includes capital accumulation (with quadratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651467
We study the joint movements of the returns on futures for crude oil, heating oil and natural gas. We model the leptokurtic behavior through the multivariate GARCH with dynamic conditional correlations and elliptical distributions introduced by Pelagatti and Rondena (2004). Energy futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651488
This paper studies the forecasting properties of linear GARCH models for closing-day futures prices on crude oil, first position, traded in the New York Mercantile Exchange from January 1995 to November 2005. In order to account for fat tails in the empirical distribution of the series, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651492
This note reconsiders the impact of the reform of the operational framework of the European Central Bank that took place in March 2004. We estimate a bivariate GARCH model with the overnight rate and 1-year swap rate, where identifying restrictions are imposed on the conditional variance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651553
We introduce distortionary taxes on consumption, labor and capital income into a New Keynesian model with Calvo pricing and nominal bonds. We study the relation between tax instruments and optimal monetary policy by computing simple rules for monetary and fiscal policy when one tax instrument at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651578
Questo studio considera l'evoluzione della relazione tra ETF su titoli di stato ed i relativi indici 'benchmark' durante il periodo di turbolenza dei mercati iniziato nel 2007. La nostra analisi si concentra sul cambiamento della trasmissione di volatilità in seguito al fallimento di Lehman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651597
The need of fiscal consolidation is likely to dominate the policy agenda in the next decade; starting from statistical evidence on the conduct of fiscal policy in the EMU area over the last decade, this paper addresses the optimality of alternative fiscal consolidation strategies. We explore the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651614
This note sketches the issues that arise while interpreting the relation between macroeconomic volatility and financial risk premia from the perspective of the standard consumption-based asset pricing model. The relation arises from the fact that all assets are priced by the same 'pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651626
The present paper introduces two bonds in a standard New-Keynesian model to study the role of segmentation in bond markets for the determinacy of rational expectations equilibria. We use a strongly-separable utility function to model 'liquid' bonds that provide transaction services for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651661
We consider the optimal trade execution strategies for a large portfolio of single stocks proposed by Almgren (2003). This framework accounts for a nonlinear impact of trades on average market prices. The execution strategy of Almgren (2003) is based on the assumption that no shares per unit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651689