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Using high frequency intraday returns, we calculate the realized volatility of the USD/GBP, USD/DEM and USD/JPY exchange rates. It is shown that the dynamics of the logarithms of realized volatilities can be captured by either a fractionally integrated long memory model or a short memory ARMA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785988
The volatility information contained in high-frequency exchange rate quotations and in implied volatilities calculated from options prices is compared by estimating ARCH models for hourly and daily DM/$ returns. The results are based on the year of Reuters quotations supplied by Olsen amp;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787596
We compare forecasts of the realized volatility of the pound, mark and yen exchange rates against the dollar, calculated from intraday rates, over horizons ranging from one day to three months. Our forecasts are obtained from a short memory ARMA model, a long memory ARFIMA model, a GARCH model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740470
Results from the ARCH/GARCH literature and studies of implied volatility clearly show that volatility changes over time. This paper investigates the improvement in pricing of FTSE 100 index options from taking into account stochastic volatility. The major tool for this analysis is Heston?s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743676
This study uses survey data of fund managers? views on prospects for international equity markerts to shed light on why investment portfolios are signnificantly biased towards domestic equities. We find that fund managers from the US, the UK, Continental Europe, and Japan show a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743677
The volatility information contained in high-frequency exchange rate quotations and in implied volatilities calculated from options prices is compared by estimating ARCH models for hourly and daily DM/$ returns. The results are based on the year of Reuters quotations supplied by Olsen amp;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012791704
In this paper we examine the variables that explain the cross-section of UK stock returns. Previous studies have found that the CAPM beta has moderate or even insignificant explanatory power once the Fama French factors are included. However, we control for different realised risk premia in up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005242374
We test for the presence of momentum profits in the UK over the period 1977 to 1998. The analysis shows that significant momentum profits are present in both a comprehensive sample of UK stocks and an accounting sub-sample. An analysis of sub-period results, seasonal effects, and the persistence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005242520
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005309502
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005201839