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It is well known that non-normality plays an important role in asset and risk management.However, handling a large number of assets has long been a challenge.In this paper, we present a statistical technique that extends Principal ComponentAnalysis to higher moments such as skewness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486996
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involvinga risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequencyfor ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates andBayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We nd that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487000
In this paper, we investigate the asymmetry in the tail dependence between USequity portfolios and the aggregate US market. Given the limited number of ob-servations in the tails of a joint distribution, standard non-parametric measures oftail dependence often have poor nite-sample properties....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435216
Recent portfolio choice, asset pricing, and option valuation models highlight the importance of skewness and kurtosis. Since skewness and kurtosis are related to extreme variations, they are also important for Value-at-Risk measurements. Our framework builds on a GARCH model with a conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011513
Designing an investment strategy in transition economies is a difficult task because stock-markets opened through time, time series are short, and there is little guidance how to obtain expected returns and covariance matrices necessary for mean-variance portfolio allocation. Also, structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011543
For Central Banks, institutional, and individual investors it is crucial to understand the frequency and importance of drops or sudden rises in financial markets. Extreme value theory (evt) is an interesting tool providing answers to questions such as: <p> -with what frequency do we find variations...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011576
The entropy principle yields, for a given set of moments, a density that involves the smallest amount of prior information. We first show how entropy densities may be constructed in a numerically efficient way as the minimization of a potential. Next, for the case where the first four moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011597
We develop a new methodology that measures conditional dependency. We achieve this by using copula functions that link marginal distributions, here chosen to obey a GARCH-type model with time-varying skewness and kurtosis. We apply this model to daily returns of stock-market indices. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011635
In this paper, we use a database consisting of daily stock-returns for 20 countries to test for similarities between the left and right tail of returns as well as for cross-sectional differences. To mitigate the issue of dependency between stock returns, we estimate the distribution of extremes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011669